The United States has long been the world’s go-to destination for business and technology innovation. From Silicon Valley to Boston’s biotech hub, American companies have lured exceptional talent from every corner of the globe. However, that draw is now fading. New barriers for work visas and green cards are prompting top talent to weigh opportunities elsewhere.
This potential brain drain won’t arrive in a flood. It’s more likely to occur as a slow drip that extends over years. Authorities may continue to block renewals for some IT workers on H-1B, O-1, EB-1A, or National Interest Waivers through onerous restrictions, high fees, and aggressive rhetoric. Meanwhile, future talent — typically international students on F-1 visas — may accept jobs or launch startups elsewhere.
One thing is clear: CIOs, caught in the crosshairs, must adapt. Without top-tier IT talent, “We may never see some of the breakthroughs that these people would have brought to the US,” says Jeff Le, managing principal at consultancy 100 Mile Strategies and a visiting fellow at the National Security Institute at George Mason University.
The takeaway? CIOs cannot treat immigration casually. It must become part of a broader business playbook. This means rethinking and reworking internal policies, experimenting with new tools and technologies, and finding ways to keep pace with abrupt changes in policy.
Beyond Skills
Immigration critics as varied as Bernie Sanders and Steve Bannon view H1-B visas merely as a cost-cutting tactic or a way to undercut domestic wages. What’s often overlooked is that companies hiring foreign workers face increased compliance costs, legal fees, and administrative overhead. In addition, employers must file a Labor Condition Application affirming that an employee will not lower wages or negatively impact working conditions for equivalent US workers.
To be sure, most CIOs turn to foreign talent for highly specialized IT skills rather than cost savings. Top-tier talent helps companies — from banks and retailers to healthcare and aerospace companies — innovate and boost revenues. This, in turn, fuels broader economic gains for both the company and the country. The American Immigration Council reports that immigrants or their children founded 46% of all Fortune 500 companies. In 2023, these firms generated $8.6 trillion in revenue and employed over 15 million people worldwide.
“Restrictive policies choke the supply of niche skill sets that domestic pipelines can’t fill at scale,” states Patrice Williams-Lindo, CEO of Career Nomad and a former senior leader at Deloitte and KPMG. Curtailing immigration also creates incentives for CIOs to over-automate and push remaining staff past the breaking point, she argues.
This isn’t to say that there isn’t room for improvement. Some companies, particularly IT staffing firms, have manipulated and abused the H1-B system, and some so-called “essential” workers aren’t so essential. There’s also a fundamental problem with the way the H1-B lottery takes place. Anyone can apply — so the highest-skilled workers don’t necessarily prevail. Some firms have flooded the system with applicants.
Yet these problems don’t negate the value of foreign workers in the US economy. Research shows that the H-1B labor force complements US workers rather than displacing them. “There has been a lot of emphasis on STEM education in K through 12,” says Julie Gelatt, associate director of the US Immigration Policy Program at the Immigration Policy Institute (MPI). “But the underlying demographics do not support the notion that the US can produce enough people with the required skills,” she says.
Green Cards, Red Tape
A shortfall in homegrown talent might be manageable if the US had a tangible strategy for filling the gap. Unfortunately, a lack of training programs, technical institutes, and a general disinterest in STEM careers don’t bode well. “The number of people admitted to the US on high skill visas is perpetually short of the demand,” says Giovanni Peri, a professor of economics at the University of California, Davis, who studies labor issues.
The current cap on H1-B visas is 85,000 per year, a number that hasn’t changed since the program launched in 1990 — despite population growth and huge changes to the economy. For fiscal year 2025, USCIS reported receiving nearly 480,000 registrations for the lottery, which translates to an 18% acceptance rate. In addition, there’s currently a backlog of 1.8 million green card applicants.
Reforms have floundered. In December 2024, the Biden Administration finalized a rule to revamp the selection process and modernize H1-B rules. This included tightening eligibility, addressing fraud and making the process more equitable. Earlier ideas — such as prioritizing applicants based on the highest wage levels — sparked controversy over potential harms to small businesses. While USCIS continues to use a random selection lottery that rewards volume over merit, the Trump administration has revised the idea of basing H1-B visas on wages. In mid-August 2025, it reportedly proposed a rule change.
Work in Progress
Perhaps it may be difficult to see what comes next, but CIOs must develop a plan. Immigration restrictions pose a fundamental risk to talent pipelines, workforce stability, and future innovation. Meanwhile, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia and other countries are turning America’s problem into an opportunity by actively courting foreign scientists, researchers and tech workers with streamlined visa programs and startup-friendly policies.
Loren Locke, an immigration attorney based in Atlanta, urges CIOs to fully embrace high-value employees who choose to self-petition for green cards under EB-1A or National Interest Waiver (NIW) categories. “CIOs can support this by helping them build qualifying case profiles,” she says. This includes highlighting articles, books, patents, conference appearances, and other signs of expertise. At the same time, it’s essential to provide internal mentorship and legal guidance, she adds.
Mitigating uncertainty and volatility is crucial, Le says. A big piece of the puzzle is establishing a comprehensive IT staffing and immigration strategy. This includes directly connecting digital initiatives with immigration. “CIOs must align their strategies with CHROs and chief AI officers,” he argues.
Offshoring and nearshoring, while valuable, can’t fix the problem, Gelatt says. Rather than treating foreign talent as a fallback or a workaround for persistent labor shortages, CIOs should maximize geographic flexibility, establish an international recruiting presence, and distribute functions and teams to minimize disruptions. “You have to think like a global talent scout,” Le says.
While it may be difficult to speak out publicly about onerous government policies, Le argues that CIOs and other business and IT leaders can influence policy direction by working with trade groups, chambers of commerce, and industry associations to promote sensible immigration. “There’s some evidence that the current administration is listening to industry,” he says.
Of course, even the best strategies have their limits. Today’s immigration system is at odds with practical and economic realities — and any real fix seems unlikely. Says Peri: “If the US closes itself off, it will be impossible to sustain the remarkable growth and innovation that has made it the world leader.”
